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Forecasting & Stock Replenishment

By improving your forecast reliability and managing supplier lead-time variability, we’ll help your business to prevent stock-outs and increase customer satisfaction. Our expert forecasting and replenishment consultants will ensure you work with optimal stock levels, boosting operational efficiency and financial performance.

About our service

Forecasting and managing stock effectively

Our demand forecasting and stock replenishment services ensure your inventory levels are optimised to meet customer demand. By enhancing forecast accuracy and managing supplier lead-time variability, we help you avoid stock-outs and excess inventory. This minimises financial losses due to write-offs and shrinkage, ensuring efficient operations and improved customer satisfaction. 

Our tailored solutions support your purchasing and inventory management teams in achieving optimal performance and cost-effectiveness.

Collaborative forecasting and replenishment

We can also help your business to introduce collaborative forecasting and replenishment. This is a supply chain strategy where partners, such as manufacturers, suppliers, and retailers, share data and insights to improve demand forecasting and inventory management. 

By working together, they can create more accurate demand forecasts, optimise stock levels, and synchronise replenishment schedules. This collaboration leads to reduced inventory costs, fewer stockouts, improved order fulfilment, and enhanced customer satisfaction. It fosters stronger relationships between partners and increases the overall efficiency and responsiveness of the supply chain.

Process & considerations

The Hatmill approach to forecasting & stock replenishment

Our process is collaborative by nature and we bring together the best suppliers to streamline your forecasting and replenishment capabilities. Here’s what our process looks like:

Data collection

We’ll begin by gathering historical sales data, market trends, and other relevant information to form the foundation for accurate demand forecasting.

Demand forecasting

We’ll then analyse the collected data using statistical methods and advanced analytics to predict future demand. This step helps in understanding seasonal trends and market fluctuations.

Supplier lead-time analysis

Then we’ll assess supplier performance and lead times to ensure timely stock replenishment. Understanding variability in supplier lead times is crucial for maintaining optimal inventory levels.

Inventory optimisation

Optimal stock levels will then be calculated by balancing demand forecasts with supplier lead times. This step aims to minimise stock-outs and excess inventory.

Replenishment planning

We’ll then develop a replenishment strategy that aligns with demand forecasts and lead-time analysis. This involves setting reorder points and safety stock levels to ensure continuous product availability.

Monitoring & adjustment

We’ll continuously monitor inventory performance and adjust forecasts and replenishment plans as needed. Regular review ensures that your system adapts to changing market conditions and maintains efficiency.

“Throughout our time working with Hatmill, I have remained impressed with the organisation, focus and tenacity of the team, and they have been instrumental in helping our organisation reach some critical decision points. The team are engaging, personable and a pleasure to work with.”

– Phil Wright, Head of Logistics, Greggs

Review inventory profile

We can review your inventory profile and design options to segment SKU’s by the characteristics that will help transform your supply chain and inventory performance. We capture measures such as hit frequency, cost of goods sold, customer segmentation and marketing importance. Each ABC classification can then have unique service level factors to enhance availability on fast-moving SKUs, and minimise risk on the slower, more volatile items.

Optimising order quantities

We can also review whether harvesting minimum order quantities across business units can reduce working capital and we’ll assess the feasibility of economic order quantities where appropriate, to meet financial objectives and improve customer satisfaction levels.

Ideas & Insights

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